“The high-leverage situation”
Wednesday, June 9, 2010 at 12:24 am by SJK
After we got done watching Strasburg -- cough -- we mean the Yankees, we started to aimlessly search the internet for some interesting baseball material.
With the Joe Girardi bullpen debacle from Saturday still fresh on our minds, we decided to check out Fangraphs' Game Leverage Index, which can be used to determine how important a situation is when a pitcher enters the game. The higher the number, the more high-leverage a situation is.
Here's your AL Top 11 (you'll see why we made it 11):
Jonathan Papelbon, BOS, 2.15
Daniel Bard, BOS, 2.10
David Aardsma, SEA, 2.09
Neftali Feliz, TEX, 2.00
John Rauch, MIN, 1.97
Kevin Gregg, TOR, 1.85
Chris Perez, CLE, 1.83
Andrew Bailey, OAK, 1.78
Rafael Soriano, TAM, 1.76
Ryan Perry, DET, 1.70
God, NYY, 1.68
Papelbon and Bard make sense being at the top of the list. Boston has played in 22 one-run games so far this season, which is tied for most in the league with Texas. In comparison, the Yankees have only played in 9 one-run games, which is lowest in the AL.
Mariano does have the highest leverage number on the Yankees staff. Joba is second with a 1.41. Marte is third with a 1.32. D-Rob is 4th with a 1.14.
Sooo… Girardi isn’t a complete ‘tard?
So in their most important innings the Yankees use their best reliever the most, their second best reliever the second most, their third best reliever 3rd, and their fourth best reliever 4th?
Sounds about right to me.
Now lets look at meltdowns and shutdowns!
Looks more like the “high” leverage situation, huh huh huh, yeah, man.
Has anyone regressed xFIP to leverage index?
should give an idea on how well each reliever is being used, and maybe an indication on how well a manager is at utilizing his ‘pen.
what do you mean by that, Chris? Could you explain more?
After seeing the Yankees’ numbers, I wonder what the distribution of the leverage index should be. Don’t know if I’m saying that correctly.
For example, Mo has the highest LI which is good. But should it be even higher? Should the spread between him and Joba be larger?
The leverage index seems to give a good idea if managers are using their top relievers in most dicey situations, but it doesnt really show if they’re “maximizing” his relievers.
Or maybe what I’m saying doesn’t make sense.
I’m just saying that I would think that the closer the correlation between xFIP and LI is to -1, the more the manager is maximizing the pen.
Does anyone want to go splisty with me on this ebay listing?
http://bit.ly/dfhLSR
Hi Dave!
This sounds like a bad TNT commercial…Girardi knows drama
It’s all Girardi’s fault for not managing more 1 run games so Mariano could be higher on the list.
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