We first said it in December. We said it again in February. And now you can bet your house on it (even though your mortgage is probably more than the house is worth). CC Sabathia will opt out of his contract at the end of the season.

Why wouldn’t he? He’s is the midst of one his best seasons, perhaps even the best. He’s thrown 23.2 consecutive scoreless innings. The Yankees don’t exactly have the reputation of being shrewd negotiators. We witnessed the Cliff Lee bonanza (Lee was 32 at the end of the 2010 season, Sabathia will be 31 at the end of this season).

He’ll have four years left if he doesn’t opt out, which will put him at age 35 when he’s looking for next contract. Why wouldn’t he opt out now, and turn the remaining four years into a 6-8 year deal?

He has every reason in the world to opt out. And he will.