Ichiro is a brand name. He’s a superstar known for being a hit machine, a superb defender, and an outstanding baserunner. And when we see the Yankees traded for him, it’s easy to caught up in visions of another All-Star talent making his home in the Boogie Down.

The thing is, at age 38, Ichiro is no longer an elite player. In fact, he’s far from it. Since the beginning of the 2011 season, he’s been the worst hitting OF in the majors. Of 57 OFs with at least 800 PAs since 2011, Ichiro ranks dead last in OPS (.644), wRC+ (80), and wOBA (.286). He’s been that bad.

He’s been even worse at the plate this season, hitting .261/.288/.353 (77 wRC+, 83 OPS+, .281 wOBA).

On the plus side, Ichiro still plays great defense and swipes bags at a high rate (15/17 this year, 42/51 last year). And for all the BABIPers in the house, Ichiro has a career-high line drive rate of 25.6% this year, yet also possesses his lowest BABIP at .279 (career .345). This would be foundation for a rebound and make him a buy-low candidate. And as we know by the Nick Swisher trade, BABIP and Line Drive rates are something that Cashman & Staff pay attention to.

The Yankees obtained Ichiro for DJ Mitchell, who is a duplicative back-end arm stuck in Triple-A, and a waiver wire pickup in Danny Farquhar. It’s worth the shot. However, let’s not get carried away with the “Yankees ripped off Team X!!” mantra we so often hear when the Bombers make a trade.

This is a 38-year old Ichiro who’s been the worst hitting OF in baseball the last year and a half. We hope Girardi doesn’t get caught up in the brand name, and that a change of scenery makes Ichiro worth at least something offensively. His great defense and speed will certainly be helpful, but let’s not pretend we’re getting Exclamation Point Ichiro.


Ichiro is looking forward to seeing the sights of NYC.