If Cash wants to make upgrades, they should be of the very low cost variety

July 31, 2014 | 5 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

Per Fangraphs, the Yankees have a 13.7% chance of making the postseason. We are already on record with our article “Know When To Fold ‘Em” that our preference is for the club to be sellers and trade away their soon-to-be free agents in Kuroda and David Robertson. It’s the same thing we said last year when we advocated the trading of Robinson Cano. This front office is trapped in a downward spiral of win-now mania and it needs to stop.

However, if the insanity must continue, we hope Cashman & Co have the common sense to not make a blockbuster acquisition and hamstring the future of the club. Chances are this team is not making the playoffs anyway no matter who they trade for. If Cash wants to trade for slight upgrades and give away cash or a C level prospect, then fine. Maybe the Yankees get lucky and sneak into the postseason by some Pythagorean miracle. But, we hope Cashman is looking at reality. The most prudent course of action would be to sell, but since this front office refuses to change its mentality, we hope any acquisitons don’t condemn this club to more seasons of mediocrity.

What’s to lose by trying it?

July 29, 2014 | 57 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

Five days ago, Brian Cashman said that Triple-A second baseman Rob Refsynder would not be an upgrade over Brian Roberts. It was a bizarre comment to say the least. Why? Because Brian Roberts is terrible.

After going 0-3 in Monday’s loss against Texas, Roberts is now hitting a putrid .237/.300/.360, which is good for a wRC+ of 81 (19% below the average hitter). He’s a replacement-level scrub at this point (0.1 WAR).

Seriously, what is to lose by calling up Refsynder, who’s been killing minor league pitching all season and has a chance to figure into the club’s future?

We simply don’t understand the decision-making anymore. This is a club that waited two months too long to release Alfonso Soriano, and now has some sort of unexplainable affinity for Brian Roberts.

Yanks cooling off, drop 3rd in a row

July 29, 2014 | 17 comments | in Featured | by SJK

Brian McCann Frozen Disney NoMaas Yankees

American Ninja Warrior

July 26, 2014 | 24 comments | in Featured | by Louis Winthorpe III

Ichiro hits his first HR of the year in the 3rd

What has happened to you?

July 24, 2014 | 37 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

Via Lohud / Brian Cashman on NoMaas-favorite, Rob Refsnyder:

Pretty cut and dry reason why he hasn’t called up Rob Refsnyder. “I don’t think we would be significantly upgrading at second base right now,” Cashman said. “… If you did see him, he would be probably more likely an outfielder for us.” Cashman said Refsnyder has a legitimate chance to be the big league second baseman next year, but they don’t feel he’s ready to do that right now. Cashman said he thinks the immediate impact would be much less than outsiders might expect. “It’s a super big jump to the big league level,” Cashman said.

Brian Roberts: .244/.307/.373 (86 wRC+), 0.3 WAR
Rob Refsnyder at AAA: .301/.401/.497 (151 wRC+)

Compare this to comments Cashman made in 2005:

“We have to get back to doing what made the Yankees so good for such a long period beginning in the ’90s,” said Cashman. “We’re in the position we’re in because we stopped developing our own young players.”

“… storm clouds are on the horizon if we keep just staying old,” Cashman said. “You’ve got to reinvent yourself with youth and mix them in with the veterans, instead of going all veterans.”

Yankees Get Decent Head

July 24, 2014 | 18 comments | in Featured | by Vizzini

Better late than never…our Chase Headley trade analysis:

Before the trade news made it around World Wide Web, I received a disgruntled text from Sensei John Kreese (at an undisclosed location) notifying me that the Yankees had acquired Chase Headley. He was not excited that the Yankees had traded yet more young, team controlled players for a rental with an 88wrc+. But since The Sensei is, er, indisposed… you’re going to get my silver lining take on this deal.

Let’s start with the Official NoMaas Position: The Yankees have a bad team. They are unlikely to be able to trade their way out of this mess to create a playoff team, no less a legitimate World Series contender. Every move they make in that direction — trading young players for rentals, holding on to soon-to-be free agent sinstead of restocking the farm system — is driving this franchise deeper and deeper into the morass that began in 2012. The proper move for the Yankees right now would be to stockpile young players and trade away the few valuable assets they have to build for next year and beyond, not continue to sacrifice an already waning future in a hail mary attempt on this season’s team.

However… if the Yankees are going to pursue this reckless course, the Headley trade is about as good as you can ask for. We don’t like trading youth, but Cashman seems to have minimized any potential damage to the future in only giving up Solarte and De Paula. Solarte is debuting in his age 27 season. He projects as a below-average hitter the rest of the way and that’s likely where he’ll stay until he washes out of the majors. No tears will be shed over his loss.

De Paula is a bit of a different story. He’s still just 23 and is the type of guy that scouts like to say “has electric stuff” (science!). He’s dominated the lowest minor league levels, and he’s been a strikeout machine throughout. There’s potential there. That said, he’s not close to being major league ready, he was on nobody’s list of top ten Yankees prospects, and his ERA has stalled out at Class A+ ball.

In return, the Yankees get a piece that fits their puzzle very well. For all the talk about upgrading the rotation, it’s the lineup that needs immediate medical attention. Headley has been slowed by a BABIP that’s 45 points below his career average. Steamer and ZiPs project him to be ~10% above the average major league hitter the rest of the way. His wOBA is certainly going to see a boost going from one of the very worst ballparks for lefty batters to one of the very best. Even without a huge offensive rebound, Headley would provide the Yankees with value because of his defensive prowess (career 8.6 UZR/150). And all this at a position where the Yankees had a weak and unreliable set of players rotating in and out of the lineup.

Headley will be a steady hand at the hot corner and gives the Yankees a sure, if limited, boost in their blinkered quest to get bounced by the Tigers in the playoffs again.

Cut to the Chase

July 23, 2014 | 17 comments | in Featured | by Louis Winthorpe III

Headley gets a walk off base hit in the 14th in his first game as a Yankee

“Bombers” now averaging less runs per game than in 2013

July 22, 2014 | 31 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

After Monday night’s two-run offensive outburst, the Yankees are now averaging 3.99 runs per game this season. That ranks 16th in MLB.

Even more startling is that this run production is now less than the 2013 club, which averaged 4.01 runs per game.

Simply mind-boggling.

Sunny days keeping the Reds away

July 20, 2014 | 23 comments | in Featured | by SJK

Ellsbury NoMaas Sesame Street
4-4, 2B, 2 SB

Yankees swept the Reds with the assist of the sun, as the Reds lost a Brian McCann popup in the bottom of the 9th.

Padres get Angels top prospect for Houston Street (sigh)

July 19, 2014 | 23 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK


The Los Angeles Angels acquired All-Star closer Huston Street and prospect Trevor Gott from the San Diego Padres for minor leaguers Taylor Lindsey, R.J. Alvarez, Jose Rondon and Elliot Morris in a trade on Friday night.

Now the Angels’ system is weak, but by trading a reliever, the Padres were able to get the best prospect in LAA’s organization in second baseman Tayor Lindsey. Baseball America also ranks him as the 93rd-best prospect in minor league baseball.

It’s not a king’s ransom, but it’s a nice piece. Plus, the Padres picked up 3 more prospects as well.

Wake up, Cash.

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