The idiotic 2009 World Series Game 2 argument

August 21, 2011 | 62 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

7 IP, 9 K, 2 BB, 4 H, 1 ER

That was AJ Burnett’s pitching line in Game 2 of the 2009 World Series, and the justification that some people use for his 5-year, $82.5 million contract. Analyzing a contract based on only one game is ridiculous, but for this exercise, we’ll humor the notion.

While there is no doubt that Burnett pitched a great game, we have one simple question: Why do these fans ignore his other World Series start?

As excellent as his Game 2 start was, his Game 5 start against Philadelphia was atrocious:

2 IP, 2 K, 4 BB, 4 H, 6 ER, 1 HR

In addition, Burnett has a 5.67 ERA in his Yankees postseason career (33.1 IP).

If you’re a believer in the Game 2 groupthink, how can you conveniently leave out these facts?

How does one properly analyze AJ Burnett?

August 21, 2011 | 70 comments | in Featured | by SJK



Andruw Jones quietly having outstanding season

August 19, 2011 | 37 comments | in Featured | by SJK

After going 2-4 on Thursday with a walk and monster HR, Andruw Jones is now up to .246/.351/.462 on the season. His damage has been solely done on left-handed pitching, which is what Cashman signed him for. Heading into the series opener with Minnesota, Jones was hitting .269/.375/.505 in 109 PAs against lefties (.152/.243/.242 vs. RHP). His wOBA against southpaws was .386, tied for 22nd in the AL with Robinson Cano. That’s a weapon coming off the bench.


Since July 1st, Jones is hitting .265/.400/.490

Bombers barf it up against KC, Royals avoid sweep

August 17, 2011 | 81 comments | in Featured | by SJK

The Royals squeaked by with a 5-4 win, as the Yankees nearly erased a 2-run deficit in the 9th off closer Joakim Soria.


5 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 4 K, 2 BB, 2 HR (blown HR call didn’t help)

Repent, for the kingdom of Pythagoras is at hand

August 17, 2011 | 12 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK


According to His theory, examining a team’s run differential can provide a more accurate understanding of its true strength, as opposed to simply looking at its winning percentage. Over the course of a season, a team’s actual record should gravitate towards a record more reflective of its run differential.



Yankees move into first despite AJ’s spell on Ivan Nova

August 16, 2011 | 52 comments | in Featured | by SJK

Before Tuesday night’s game versus Kansas City, AJ Burnett engaged in the dark arts to ensure Ivan Nova would have one of his worst starts of the season. However, the Yankees’ offense overcame Nova’s poor outing and defeated the Royals 9-7. Also, a great job by Boone Logan, Rafael Soriano, David Robertson, and God to stop the bleeding.


Nova: 5.1 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 K, 1 BB, 1 HR allowed

VOTE: Is Posada right?

August 16, 2011 | 24 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

From Marc Carig of the Star-Ledger:

Posada believes he can still catch even though the Yankees have not permitted him to do so this season.

“Could I catch? I could catch,” he said. “I could have (caught) this year. I could have been a backup somewhere, back somebody up. I think so, yeah. You got to spring training, you got six weeks to get ready.”

Francisco Cervelli: .245/.314/.319, 71 OPS+, .297 wOBA, 8% Caught Stealing

We ask…




Jeter leads Yankees to victory, tie for first place

August 15, 2011 | 72 comments | in Featured | by SJK

Jeter: 3-4, 3B, SB, 3 RBI (now at season-high .714 OPS)


The Captain managed his stable of players to a win in Kansas City.

Minor League Players of the Week, v16

August 15, 2011 | 7 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

This week’s MLPW is chocolate, it’s pepperment, it’s delicious.

Pitcher:
Kramer Sneed, 22, LHP, A+
2.2 IP, 7 K, 2 BB, 1 H
Notable: Not a misprint, 7K in 2.2 innings pitched

NoMaas Ranking – None

Previous 2011 MLPW Wins: None

Drafted in the 32nd round of the 2010 draft, there is no word if Kramer keeps Junior Mints in his locker. However, on August 14th, he whiffed a whopping seven hitters just 2 2/3 innings against the division-leading Dunedin Blue Jays.

Listed at 6’3″ and with a fastball reportedly sitting at 90 mph, the left-hander was the first player drafted out of Barton College (we looked it up, it’s in North Carolina) since 1995 — a school enrolling less than 1,200 students.

While he’s alternated between starter and reliever, Sneed apparently has a preference for the bullpen (according to this interview), and this year’s usage seems to indicate the organization is moving in that direction (29 appearances, 7 starts in 2011).

His numbers have certainly been impressive. In 2010, between the Gulf Coast and Staten Island, Kramer struck out 51 hitters in 39.2 IP, while only walking 10 (5.10 K/BB). He kicked off 2011 in Charleston, where he continued to post impressive strikeout-to-walk ratios. In 64.2 innings for the RiverDogs, Sneed K’d 68 hitters, while walking 13 — good for a K/BB of 5.23. With that ratio you think his FIP would have been lower than 3.85, but allowing 10 home runs will do that.

He was promoted to Tampa on June 30th and the results since making the jump to High-A have also been positive. Kramer has struck out 30 hitters in 30 innings, although the walks have picked up a bit with 12, resulting in a still-solid 2.50 K/BB. His FIP in Tampa is a nice 2.83, notably because the home runs have calmed down. He is also dating a low-talker that designs shirts suitable for a pirate.

He has quite the contrast in LHB vs. RHB splits. He’s held High-A left-handed batters to a .167 BA versus righties at .305. Granted, we’re only talking about 30 innings in Tampa, but it’s still something interesting to watch.

Hitter:
Ravel Santana, 19, RHB CF, Rookie
.526/.571/.842 in 21 PAs, 4 SBs
Notable: 3 doubles, 1 HR

NoMaas Ranking – None

Previous 2011 MLPW Win – 14

A great week for Santana ruined by an ankle injury on August 13th…the injury was so bad that teammate Dante Bichette Jr. asked people to pray for the 19-year old.

Part of a Yankee offense that leads the GCL in OPS (.857), OBP (.381), SLG (.476), and AVG (.302), the young Dominican centerfielder went 10-19 on the week, with 3 doubles, 1 HR, and 2 walks. Before he went down, Santana was boasting a season line of .298/.363/.571. He’d also stolen 10 bags in 13 attempts. This followed a very strong 2010 Dominican Summer League campaign of .322/.440/.533 (22/27 SBs)

Among GCL OFs, Ravel was 4th in wOBA (.426), 3rd in ISO (.273), 11th in OBP (.363), 3rd in SLG (.571), 2nd in HRs (9), and 8th in SBs (10). In other words, he was having a fine season. The injury is extremely unfortunate.

Honorable Mentions:

Dellin Betances, 23, RHP, AA
7 IP, 6 K, 1 BB, 5 H, 0 HR, 1 ER

His final start before being promoted to AAA

Vidal Nuno, 24, LHP, A
5 IP, 6 K, 1 BB, 1 H, 1 ER, 1 HR allowed

Signed in June from the Washington Wild Things (independent league)

Cito Culver, 18, SHB SS, Short-Season
.416/.481/.541 in 27 PAs

.283/.358/.387 on the season

Claudio Custodio, 20, RHB SS, Rookie
.555/.636/.611 in 22 PAs

Leads all GCL SS in wOBA (.436), OBP (.438), BB% (12.9%)

Move over Stan the Man

August 12, 2011 | 56 comments | in Quick Analytical Blurbs | by SJK

On Friday night versus the Rays, Derek Jeter passed Stan Musial, Manny Ramirez, and Harmon Killebrew for 32nd place on the all-time GIDP list.


Congratulations Derek!

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